Colts vs Commanders

(Neutral venue) NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Colts 30 - Commanders 13
Sunday, October 4, 2026 at 9:30 AM ET
Indianapolis
Colts
1-2 Rating 1432
Form: LLLLW
30 – 13
Model Probability
50%
50%
Projected margin: Washington Commanders +2.0
Washington
Commanders
1-2 Rating 1434
Form: LWLLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Colts Commanders
All-time wins 8 8
Last 5 meetings 4 1
Average points 22.6 24.4
Last meeting 16 17

Key Season Stats

Stat Colts Commanders
Games played 3 3
Avg points scored 24.0 25.0
Avg points conceded 30.3 30.7
Win percentage 33% 33%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 100%