Giants @ Commanders

NFL model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Final Score: Giants 27 - Commanders 27
Sunday, October 11, 2026 at 1:00 PM ET
New York
Giants
3-1 Rating 1420
Form: WWLWW
27 – 27
Model Probability
44%
56%
Projected margin: Washington Commanders +2.7
Washington
Commanders
1-3 Rating 1405
Form: WLLWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Giants Commanders
All-time wins 60 51
Last 5 meetings 1 4
Average points 19.8 19.3
Last meeting 21 29

Key Season Stats

Stat Giants Commanders
Games played 4 4
Avg points scored 20.5 22.0
Avg points conceded 19.8 30.5
Win percentage 75% 25%
Away win % / Home win % 0% 50%