Final Score: Brewers 6 - Pirates 7
Saturday, July 11, 2026 at 12:05 PM ET

Brewers @ Pirates

MLB model probabilities, projected margin and matchup analysis
Brewers
59-34 Rating 1574
Form: WWWLW
Model Probability
58%
42%
Projected margin: Milwaukee Brewers +0.7
Pirates
47-47 Rating 1480
Form: WWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Stat Brewers Pirates
All-time wins 259 198
Last 5 meetings 3 2
Average runs 4.8 4.1
Last meeting 5 0

Key Season Stats

Stat Brewers Pirates
Games played 93 94
Avg runs scored 5.1 5.2
Avg runs conceded 3.6 4.9
Win percentage 63% 50%
Away win % / Home win % 65% 50%