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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 1 · Round 6
Sun, Nov 15, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM GMT

Finland vs San Marino Prediction & Win Probability

Finland has a 94% chance to win, with a 4% chance of a draw.

Rating 1591 · World #72
Form: LWDWD
VS
Rating 1049 · World #219
Form: LLLLL
Model Probability
94%
2%
Draw 4%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand24%32%44%<1%
Finland win 26%33%42%<1%
Draw 1%28%71%<1%
San Marino win 1%13%86%<1%

๐Ÿ‡ธ๐Ÿ‡ฒ San Marino

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand<1%<1%<1%100%
Finland win <1%<1%<1%100%
Draw <1%<1%<1%100%
San Marino win <1%<1%<1%100%

League C ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Albania 4 9 1624 54% 26% 21% <1%
2 Belarus 4 7 1486 22% 42% 36% <1%
3 Finland 4 7 1591 24% 32% 44% <1%
4 San Marino 4 0 1049 <1% <1% <1% 100%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
FinlandStatSan Marino
4-2-4Won-Drawn-Lost0-0-10
1.5Avg goals scored0.2
1.2Avg goals conceded4.8
1591Rating1049
#72World rank#219

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
FinlandStatSan Marino
5Wins (5 meetings, 0 draws)0
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
4.8Average goals0.2
Last meeting (Sat, Sep 26, 2026, Nations League): San Marino 0–7 Finland