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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 1 · Round 5
Thu, Nov 12, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Albania vs Finland Prediction & Win Probability

Albania has a 44% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1624 · World #61
Form: LLWWW
VS
Rating 1595 · World #72
Form: DWLLW
Model Probability
44%
26%
Draw 30%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Albania

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand49%35%15%<1%
Albania win 72%21%7%<1%
Draw 43%40%16%<1%
Finland win 19%53%28%<1%

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand40%40%21%<1%
Albania win 19%52%29%<1%
Draw 42%38%19%<1%
Finland win 72%21%8%<1%

League C ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Albania 0 0 1624 49% 35% 15% <1%
– Finland 0 0 1595 40% 40% 21% <1%
– Belarus 0 0 1478 11% 25% 62% 2%
– San Marino 0 0 1055 <1% <1% 2% 98%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
AlbaniaStatFinland
4-2-4Won-Drawn-Lost4-2-4
0.9Avg goals scored1.1
0.9Avg goals conceded1.5
1624Rating1595
#61World rank#72

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
Albania and Finland haven't met since 2010.

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Albania

@ Poland
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
1–2
vs England
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–2
@ Andorra
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 83%
1–0
@ Serbia
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 16%
1–0
vs Latvia
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 71%
1–0

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland

@ Cape Verde
Mon, Mar 30, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 34%
1–1
@ New Zealand
Fri, Mar 27, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 27%
2–0
vs Malta
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 78%
0–1
@ Netherlands
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–4
vs Lithuania
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 70%
2–1