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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 1 · Round 5
Thu, Nov 12, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM GMT

Albania vs Finland Prediction & Win Probability

Albania has a 45% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1624 · World #63
Form: WLWWL
VS
Rating 1591 · World #72
Form: LWDWD
Model Probability
45%
26%
Draw 29%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 1 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฑ Albania

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand54%26%21%<1%
Albania win 81%19%<1%<1%
Draw 57%14%28%<1%
Finland win 3%49%48%<1%

๐Ÿ‡ซ๐Ÿ‡ฎ Finland

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand24%32%44%<1%
Albania win <1%12%88%<1%
Draw 14%73%13%<1%
Finland win 76%23%<1%<1%

League C ยท Group 1

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Albania 4 9 1624 54% 26% 21% <1%
2 Belarus 4 7 1486 22% 42% 36% <1%
3 Finland 4 7 1591 24% 32% 44% <1%
4 San Marino 4 0 1049 <1% <1% <1% 100%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
AlbaniaStatFinland
6-1-3Won-Drawn-Lost4-2-4
1.3Avg goals scored1.5
0.8Avg goals conceded1.2
1624Rating1591
#63World rank#72

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
AlbaniaStatFinland
0Wins (1 meeting, 0 draws)1
0Last 1 meeting (0 draws)1
1.0Average goals2.0
Last meeting (Sat, Oct 3, 2026, Nations League): Finland 2–1 Albania