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Final Score: Luxembourg 0–2 Bulgaria
UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 4 · Round 4
Tue, Oct 6, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Luxembourg vs Bulgaria Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Luxembourg had a 36% chance to win, with a 31% chance of a draw.

Rating 1454 · World #107
Form: LLWWW
VS
Rating 1505 · World #93
Form: LDLWW
Pre-match probability
36%
34%
Draw 31%

League C ยท Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Iceland 4 8 1591 84% 13% 3% <1%
2 Estonia 4 6 1428 9% 51% 26% 14%
3 Bulgaria 4 4 1505 5% 29% 40% 26%
4 Luxembourg 4 3 1454 2% 7% 31% 60%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 9 internationals in any competition
LuxembourgStatBulgaria
3-0-6Won-Drawn-Lost3-1-5
0.78Avg goals scored1.67
1.56Avg goals conceded2.22
1454Rating1505
#107World rank#93

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
LuxembourgStatBulgaria
1Wins (7 meetings, 3 draws)3
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.86Average goals1.29
Last meeting (Tue, Oct 6, 2026, Nations League): Luxembourg 0–2 Bulgaria