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Final Score: Iceland 3–0 Bulgaria
UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 4 · Round 3
Sat, Oct 3, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM BST

Iceland vs Bulgaria Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Iceland had a 52% chance to win, with a 27% chance of a draw.

Rating 1591 · World #71
Form: WDLWD
VS
Rating 1505 · World #93
Form: DLWWW
Pre-match probability
52%
21%
Draw 27%

League C ยท Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Iceland 4 8 1591 84% 13% 3% <1%
2 Estonia 4 6 1428 9% 51% 26% 14%
3 Bulgaria 4 4 1505 5% 29% 40% 26%
4 Luxembourg 4 3 1454 2% 7% 31% 60%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 8 internationals in any competition
IcelandStatBulgaria
3-2-3Won-Drawn-Lost3-1-4
2.12Avg goals scored1.88
1.5Avg goals conceded2.12
1591Rating1505
#71World rank#93

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
IcelandStatBulgaria
1Wins (1 meeting, 0 draws)0
1Last 1 meeting (0 draws)0
3.0Average goals0.0
Last meeting (Sat, Oct 3, 2026, Nations League): Iceland 3–0 Bulgaria

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iceland

@ Luxembourg
Tue, Sep 29, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 42%
3–0
vs Estonia
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 64%
1–1
@ Ukraine
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 13%
0–2
@ Azerbaijan
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 49%
2–0
vs France
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 5%
2–2

๐Ÿ‡ง๐Ÿ‡ฌ Bulgaria

vs Estonia
Tue, Sep 29, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 53%
0–0
vs Luxembourg
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 46%
1–2
@ Indonesia
Mon, Mar 30, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 38%
1–0
@ Solomon Islands
Fri, Mar 27, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 57%
10–2
vs Georgia
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 22%
2–1