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Final Score: Iceland 1–1 Estonia
UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 4 · Round 1
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM BST

Iceland vs Estonia Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Iceland had a 64% chance to win, with a 22% chance of a draw.

Rating 1591 · World #71
Form: LWDLL
VS
Rating 1428 · World #120
Form: WWLDL
Pre-match probability
64%
14%
Draw 22%

League C ยท Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Iceland 4 8 1591 84% 13% 3% <1%
2 Estonia 4 6 1428 9% 51% 26% 14%
3 Bulgaria 4 4 1505 5% 29% 40% 26%
4 Luxembourg 4 3 1454 2% 7% 31% 60%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 6 internationals in any competition
IcelandStatEstonia
2-1-3Won-Drawn-Lost2-2-2
2.17Avg goals scored0.83
1.83Avg goals conceded1.33
1591Rating1428
#71World rank#120

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
IcelandStatEstonia
1Wins (6 meetings, 5 draws)0
0Last 5 meetings (5 draws)0
0.67Average goals0.5
Last meeting (Tue, Oct 6, 2026, Nations League): Estonia 0–0 Iceland

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฎ๐Ÿ‡ธ Iceland

@ Ukraine
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 13%
0–2
@ Azerbaijan
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 49%
2–0
vs France
Mon, Oct 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 5%
2–2
vs Ukraine
Fri, Oct 10, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
3–5
@ France
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 4%
1–2

๐Ÿ‡ช๐Ÿ‡ช Estonia

vs Lithuania
Tue, Jun 9, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 44%
1–0
vs Faroe Islands
Sat, Jun 6, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 44%
1–0
@ Rwanda
Mon, Mar 30, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 27%
0–2
@ Kenya
Fri, Mar 27, 2026 · Fifa Series · Pre-match win chance 23%
1–1
@ Norway
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 5%
1–4