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Final Score: Romania 0–1 Sweden
UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 4 · Round 4
Mon, Oct 5, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM BST

Romania vs Sweden Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Sweden had a 41% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1650 · World #57
Form: LLLLW
VS
Rating 1744 · World #29
Form: DWWLD
Pre-match probability
29%
41%
Draw 30%

League B Β· Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Sweden 4 10 1744 80% 18% 1% <1%
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 8 1634 19% 74% 6% <1%
3 Poland 4 4 1725 <1% 8% 85% 7%
4 Romania 4 0 1650 <1% <1% 7% 93%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 9 internationals in any competition
RomaniaStatSweden
3-1-5Won-Drawn-Lost5-2-2
1.78Avg goals scored2.11
2.11Avg goals conceded1.78
1650Rating1744
#57World rank#29

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
RomaniaStatSweden
1Wins (5 meetings, 0 draws)4
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.6Average goals1.4
Last meeting (Mon, Oct 5, 2026, Nations League): Romania 0–1 Sweden