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Final Score: Sweden 3–1 Poland
UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 4 · Round 2
Mon, Sep 28, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM BST

Sweden vs Poland Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Sweden had a 41% chance to win, with a 30% chance of a draw.

Rating 1744 · World #29
Form: WLDLW
VS
Rating 1725 · World #35
Form: DLWWD
Pre-match probability
41%
29%
Draw 30%

League B Β· Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Sweden 4 10 1744 80% 18% 1% <1%
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 8 1634 19% 74% 6% <1%
3 Poland 4 4 1725 <1% 8% 85% 7%
4 Romania 4 0 1650 <1% <1% 7% 93%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 7 internationals in any competition
SwedenStatPoland
4-1-2Won-Drawn-Lost4-2-1
2.14Avg goals scored1.86
2.0Avg goals conceded1.14
1744Rating1725
#29World rank#35

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SwedenStatPoland
3Wins (4 meetings, 0 draws)1
3Last 4 meetings (0 draws)1
2.25Average goals1.75
Last meeting (Mon, Sep 28, 2026, Nations League): Sweden 3–1 Poland

Recent Results

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden

vs Romania
Fri, Sep 25, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 46%
2–1
@ France
Tue, Jun 30, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–3
@ Japan
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 21%
1–1
@ Netherlands
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 15%
1–5
vs Tunisia
Mon, Jun 15, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 42%
5–1

πŸ‡΅πŸ‡± Poland

vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Fri, Sep 25, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 58%
0–0
@ Sweden
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 33%
2–3
vs Albania
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 55%
2–1
@ Malta
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 82%
3–2
vs Netherlands
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 16%
1–1