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Final Score: Sweden 2–1 Romania
UEFA Nations League · League B · Group 4 · Round 1
Fri, Sep 25, 2026 Β· 7:45 PM BST

Sweden vs Romania Prediction & Win Probability

Before kickoff, Sweden had a 46% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1744 · World #29
Form: LDLWW
VS
Rating 1650 · World #57
Form: LWLWD
Pre-match probability
46%
25%
Draw 29%

League B Β· Group 4

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
1 Sweden 4 10 1744 80% 18% 1% <1%
2 Bosnia & Herzegovina 4 8 1634 19% 74% 6% <1%
3 Poland 4 4 1725 <1% 8% 85% 7%
4 Romania 4 0 1650 <1% <1% 7% 93%
Promoted to League A (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Relegation play-off (4th)

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 6 internationals in any competition
SwedenStatRomania
3-1-2Won-Drawn-Lost3-1-2
2.17Avg goals scored2.17
2.17Avg goals conceded1.17
1744Rating1650
#29World rank#57

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
SwedenStatRomania
4Wins (5 meetings, 0 draws)1
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.4Average goals0.6
Last meeting (Mon, Oct 5, 2026, Nations League): Romania 0–1 Sweden

Recent Results

πŸ‡ΈπŸ‡ͺ Sweden

@ France
Tue, Jun 30, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 9%
0–3
@ Japan
Thu, Jun 25, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 21%
1–1
@ Netherlands
Sat, Jun 20, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 15%
1–5
vs Tunisia
Mon, Jun 15, 2026 · World Cup · Pre-match win chance 42%
5–1
vs Poland
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 36%
3–2

πŸ‡·πŸ‡΄ Romania

@ Turkey
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–1
vs San Marino
Tue, Nov 18, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 96%
7–1
@ Bosnia & Herzegovina
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 47%
1–3
vs Austria
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 27%
1–0
@ Cyprus
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 74%
2–2