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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 2 · Round 4
Mon, Oct 5, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Montenegro vs Armenia Prediction & Win Probability

Montenegro has a 47% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1517 · World #89
Form: LWLLL
VS
Rating 1467 · World #104
Form: LLLLW
Model Probability
47%
24%
Draw 29%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand51%28%14%7%
Montenegro win 68%21%8%3%
Draw 46%30%16%8%
Armenia win 22%38%25%14%

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Armenia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand30%33%23%14%
Montenegro win 14%38%29%19%
Draw 32%32%22%14%
Armenia win 59%23%13%5%

League C ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Montenegro 0 0 1517 51% 28% 14% 7%
– Armenia 0 0 1467 30% 33% 23% 14%
– Latvia 0 0 1387 10% 20% 31% 38%
– Cyprus 0 0 1380 9% 19% 31% 41%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
MontenegroStatArmenia
4-0-6Won-Drawn-Lost2-0-8
1.1Avg goals scored0.6
2.0Avg goals conceded3.0
1517Rating1467
#89World rank#104

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
MontenegroStatArmenia
1Wins (3 meetings, 0 draws)2
1Last 3 meetings (0 draws)2
2.0Average goals1.67
Last meeting (Thu, Mar 24, 2022, Friendly): Armenia 1–0 Montenegro

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro

vs Croatia
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
2–3
@ Gibraltar
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 72%
2–1
@ Faroe Islands
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 56%
0–4
@ Croatia
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–4
vs Czech Republic
Fri, Sep 5, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–2

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Armenia

@ Portugal
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 3%
1–9
vs Hungary
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 13%
0–1
@ Ireland
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 14%
0–1
@ Hungary
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 10%
0–2
vs Ireland
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
2–1