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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 2 · Round 1
Fri, Sep 25, 2026 ยท 7:45 PM BST

Montenegro vs Cyprus Prediction & Win Probability

Montenegro has a 60% chance to win, with a 24% chance of a draw.

Rating 1517 · World #89
Form: LWLLL
VS
Rating 1380 · World #144
Form: LWDDL
Model Probability
60%
16%
Draw 24%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand51%28%14%7%
Montenegro win 60%27%10%3%
Draw 41%31%18%10%
Cyprus win 27%27%25%20%

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ Cyprus

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand9%19%31%41%
Montenegro win 4%15%33%48%
Draw 11%21%31%37%
Cyprus win 27%29%25%20%

League C ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Montenegro 0 0 1517 51% 28% 14% 7%
– Armenia 0 0 1467 30% 33% 23% 14%
– Latvia 0 0 1387 10% 20% 31% 38%
– Cyprus 0 0 1380 9% 19% 31% 41%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
MontenegroStatCyprus
4-0-6Won-Drawn-Lost3-2-5
1.1Avg goals scored1.4
2.0Avg goals conceded1.6
1517Rating1380
#89World rank#144

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
MontenegroStatCyprus
2Wins (3 meetings, 1 draw)0
2Last 3 meetings (1 draw)0
2.0Average goals0.0
Last meeting (Tue, Nov 17, 2020, Nations League): Montenegro 4–0 Cyprus

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro

vs Croatia
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
2–3
@ Gibraltar
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 72%
2–1
@ Faroe Islands
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 56%
0–4
@ Croatia
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–4
vs Czech Republic
Fri, Sep 5, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–2

๐Ÿ‡จ๐Ÿ‡พ Cyprus

vs Austria
Sat, Nov 15, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–2
@ San Marino
Sun, Oct 12, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 72%
4–0
vs Bosnia & Herzegovina
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 17%
2–2
vs Romania
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 9%
2–2
@ Austria
Sat, Sep 6, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 3%
0–1