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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 2 · Round 1
Fri, Sep 25, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM BST

Armenia vs Latvia Prediction & Win Probability

Armenia has a 51% chance to win, with a 28% chance of a draw.

Rating 1467 · World #104
Form: LLLLW
VS
Rating 1387 · World #140
Form: LDWWL
Model Probability
51%
21%
Draw 28%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Armenia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand30%33%23%14%
Armenia win 40%37%18%5%
Draw 24%31%28%18%
Latvia win 14%24%32%30%

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand10%20%31%38%
Armenia win 5%14%33%48%
Draw 10%22%32%36%
Latvia win 24%33%26%17%

League C ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Montenegro 0 0 1517 51% 28% 14% 7%
– Armenia 0 0 1467 30% 33% 23% 14%
– Latvia 0 0 1387 10% 20% 31% 38%
– Cyprus 0 0 1380 9% 19% 31% 41%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
ArmeniaStatLatvia
2-0-8Won-Drawn-Lost2-3-5
0.6Avg goals scored0.7
3.0Avg goals conceded1.4
1467Rating1387
#104World rank#140

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
ArmeniaStatLatvia
3Wins (5 meetings, 0 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.4
Last meeting (Sun, Nov 17, 2024, Nations League): Latvia 1–2 Armenia

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฆ๐Ÿ‡ฒ Armenia

@ Portugal
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 3%
1–9
vs Hungary
Thu, Nov 13, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 13%
0–1
@ Ireland
Tue, Oct 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 14%
0–1
@ Hungary
Sat, Oct 11, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 10%
0–2
vs Ireland
Tue, Sep 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
2–1

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia

vs Faroe Islands
Tue, Jun 9, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 42%
0–1
@ Lithuania
Sat, Jun 6, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 31%
1–1
vs Gibraltar
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 67%
1–0
@ Gibraltar
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 55%
1–0
@ Serbia
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 5%
1–2