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UEFA Nations League · League C · Group 2 · Round 3
Fri, Oct 2, 2026 ยท 5:00 PM BST

Latvia vs Montenegro Prediction & Win Probability

Montenegro has a 47% chance to win, with a 29% chance of a draw.

Rating 1387 · World #140
Form: LDWWL
VS
Rating 1517 · World #88
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
24%
47%
Draw 29%

Group Impact

Chance of finishing in each Group 2 position, depending on this result

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand10%20%31%38%
Latvia win 25%29%28%18%
Draw 10%20%33%37%
Montenegro win 3%16%32%48%

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro

Scenario1st2nd3rd4th
As things stand51%28%15%7%
Latvia win 29%30%25%16%
Draw 45%30%16%8%
Montenegro win 64%25%8%2%

League C ยท Group 2

#Team P Pts Rating 1st 2nd 3rd 4th
– Montenegro 0 0 1517 51% 28% 15% 7%
– Armenia 0 0 1467 30% 33% 23% 14%
– Latvia 0 0 1387 10% 20% 31% 38%
– Cyprus 0 0 1380 9% 19% 31% 41%
Promoted to League B (1st) Promotion play-off (2nd) Ranking of 4th-placed teams (4th) Relegation play-off Relegated to League D

Form Coming Into This Game

Last 10 internationals in any competition
LatviaStatMontenegro
2-3-5Won-Drawn-Lost4-0-6
0.7Avg goals scored1.1
1.4Avg goals conceded2.0
1387Rating1517
#140World rank#88

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings (all internationals since 2010)
LatviaStatMontenegro
0Wins (4 meetings, 2 draws)2
0Last 4 meetings (2 draws)2
0.5Average goals1.25
Last meeting (Tue, Sep 7, 2021, World Cup qualifier): Montenegro 0–0 Latvia

Recent Results

๐Ÿ‡ฑ๐Ÿ‡ป Latvia

vs Faroe Islands
Tue, Jun 9, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 42%
0–1
@ Lithuania
Sat, Jun 6, 2026 · Baltic Cup · Pre-match win chance 31%
1–1
vs Gibraltar
Tue, Mar 31, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 67%
1–0
@ Gibraltar
Thu, Mar 26, 2026 · Nations League · Pre-match win chance 55%
1–0
@ Serbia
Sun, Nov 16, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 5%
1–2

๐Ÿ‡ฒ๐Ÿ‡ช Montenegro

vs Croatia
Mon, Nov 17, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 8%
2–3
@ Gibraltar
Fri, Nov 14, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 72%
2–1
@ Faroe Islands
Thu, Oct 9, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 56%
0–4
@ Croatia
Mon, Sep 8, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 6%
0–4
vs Czech Republic
Fri, Sep 5, 2025 · World Cup qualifier · Pre-match win chance 19%
0–2