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Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 60% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, May 23, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
La Liga
Alaves
3-4-5Rating 1832
Form: DLDLL
vs
Model Probability
18%
Draw 23%
60%
La Liga
Real Madrid
10-0-2Rating 2059
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 27.6%99.8%<1%<1%
If Win 29.7%100.0%<1%<1%
If Draw 24.2%99.9%<1%<1%
If Lose 19.9%99.9%<1%<1%

Alaves

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.9%6.3%7.0%
If Win <1%8.6%8.9%5.2%
If Draw <1%5.6%6.5%7.7%
If Lose <1%4.6%4.6%9.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

AlavesStatReal Madrid
12Games played12
1.2Avg goals scored2.6
1.4Avg goals conceded0.8
25% / 33% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss83% / 0% / 17%
50% Home win % / Away win % 71%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
AlavesStatReal Madrid
2All-time wins (18 meetings, 0 draws)16
0Last 5 meetings (0 draws)5
0.7Average goals2.6
Last meeting (2026-04-21): Real Madrid 2–1 Alaves