La Liga
Sun, May 23, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Alaves vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability
Real Madrid has a 50% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 26%
Model Prediction Through Season
Real Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 13.7% | 96.2% | 1.9% | <1% |
| If Win | 14.2% | 97.3% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 11.8% | 95.9% | 1.9% | <1% |
| If Lose | 9.4% | 95.0% | 2.0% | <1% |
Alaves
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 23.8% | 11.0% | 3.2% |
| If Win | <1% | 30.3% | 11.7% | 1.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | 24.3% | 10.3% | 3.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 20.4% | 9.5% | 4.1% |
| Alaves | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games played | 7 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 43% / 29% / 29% | Win / Draw / Loss | 71% / 0% / 29% |
| 75% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Alaves | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (18 meetings, 0 draws) | 16 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 5 |
| 0.7 | Average goals | 2.6 |