La Liga
Sun, Jan 31, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability
Real Madrid has a 53% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 25%
Model Prediction Through Season
Real Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 13.4% | 96.2% | 1.5% | <1% |
| If Win | 16.1% | 97.6% | 1.1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 10.4% | 95.6% | 2.0% | <1% |
| If Lose | 8.6% | 94.0% | 2.7% | <1% |
Rayo Vallecano
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 12.0% | 7.4% | 9.3% |
| If Win | <1% | 19.2% | 8.6% | 4.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | 12.8% | 7.4% | 7.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 9.8% | 6.1% | 10.3% |
| Rayo Vallecano | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games played | 7 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 2.3 | Avg goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 29% / 29% / 43% | Win / Draw / Loss | 71% / 0% / 29% |
| 67% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Rayo Vallecano | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (23 meetings, 4 draws) | 17 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 3 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 2.6 |