Rayo Vallecano vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability
Real Madrid has a 62% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Jan 31, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT
vs
Model Probability
16%
Draw 22%
62%
Model Prediction Through Season
Real Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 27.1% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 30.0% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 21.6% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 18.3% | 99.8% | <1% | <1% |
Rayo Vallecano
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 4.0% | 5.2% | 10.4% |
| If Win | <1% | 7.7% | 7.6% | 6.0% |
| If Draw | <1% | 4.7% | 6.1% | 9.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | 3.4% | 3.9% | 11.7% |
| Rayo Vallecano | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Games played | 12 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 25% / 33% / 42% | Win / Draw / Loss | 83% / 0% / 17% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 71% |
| Rayo Vallecano | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (23 meetings, 4 draws) | 17 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 3 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 2.6 |