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Sun, Feb 14, 2027 · 4:00 PM GMT

Real Madrid vs Ath Bilbao Prediction & Win Probability

Real Madrid has a 71% chance to win.

5-0-2 · Rating 2014
Form: LWWLW
VS
2-2-2 · Rating 1821
Form: DDWWL
Model Probability
71%
12%
Draw 18%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Ath Bilbao

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%11.4%6.6%10.0%
If Win <1%19.1%8.9%4.4%
If Draw <1%13.3%6.9%8.3%
If Lose <1%10.2%6.4%11.7%

Real Madrid

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 13.9%95.5%1.8%<1%
If Win 14.9%97.2%1.1%<1%
If Draw 10.5%95.6%1.7%<1%
If Lose 8.3%92.8%2.9%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Real MadridStatAth Bilbao
7Games played6
2.6Avg goals scored1.2
1.1Avg goals conceded1.0
71% / 0% / 29%Win / Draw / Loss33% / 33% / 33%
100% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Real MadridStatAth Bilbao
25All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws)2
5Last 5 meetings (0 draws)0
2.3Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2026-05-23): Real Madrid 4–2 Ath Bilbao