Real Sociedad vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability
Real Madrid has a 56% chance to win.
La Liga
Wed, Dec 2, 2026 · 6:00 PM GMT
vs
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
56%
Model Prediction Through Season
Real Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 27.3% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 32.8% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 22.8% | 99.9% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 18.0% | 99.9% | <1% | <1% |
Real Sociedad
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 42.4% | 17.0% | <1% |
| If Win | <1% | 57.8% | 15.4% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 44.7% | 16.4% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 37.4% | 16.8% | <1% |
| Real Sociedad | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Games played | 12 |
| 1.8 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 1.7 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 58% / 8% / 33% | Win / Draw / Loss | 83% / 0% / 17% |
| 67% | Home win % / Away win % | 71% |
| Real Sociedad | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 4 draws) | 25 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 5 |
| 1.0 | Average goals | 2.5 |