La Liga
Sun, Dec 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT
Ath Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability
Real Madrid has a 55% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 25%
Model Prediction Through Season
Real Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 11.9% | 96.1% | 1.8% | <1% |
| If Win | 15.3% | 97.7% | 1.0% | <1% |
| If Draw | 12.2% | 95.5% | 2.3% | <1% |
| If Lose | 8.2% | 93.2% | 2.5% | <1% |
Ath Bilbao
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 12.9% | 6.4% | 9.5% |
| If Win | <1% | 19.3% | 9.5% | 4.5% |
| If Draw | <1% | 12.0% | 7.2% | 9.3% |
| If Lose | <1% | 9.4% | 5.1% | 12.8% |
| Ath Bilbao | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 6 | Games played | 7 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 33% / 33% / 33% | Win / Draw / Loss | 71% / 0% / 29% |
| 25% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Ath Bilbao | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws) | 25 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 5 |
| 0.6 | Average goals | 2.3 |