Ath Bilbao vs Real Madrid Prediction & Win Probability
Real Madrid has a 59% chance to win.
La Liga
Sun, Dec 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT
vs
Model Probability
18%
Draw 23%
59%
Model Prediction Through Season
Real Madrid
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 26.9% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Win | 31.7% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 20.9% | 100.0% | <1% | <1% |
| If Lose | 18.4% | 99.9% | <1% | <1% |
Ath Bilbao
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 15.2% | 13.3% | 2.7% |
| If Win | <1% | 23.8% | 16.2% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 16.4% | 14.8% | 1.9% |
| If Lose | <1% | 11.7% | 11.9% | 2.7% |
| Ath Bilbao | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 12 | Games played | 12 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals scored | 2.6 |
| 0.9 | Avg goals conceded | 0.8 |
| 33% / 42% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 83% / 0% / 17% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 71% |
| Ath Bilbao | Stat | Real Madrid |
|---|---|---|
| 2 | All-time wins (33 meetings, 6 draws) | 25 |
| 0 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 5 |
| 0.6 | Average goals | 2.3 |