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Sun, Dec 6, 2026 · 4:00 PM GMT

Villarreal vs Real Sociedad Prediction & Win Probability

Villarreal has a 50% chance to win.

2-2-3 · Rating 1873
Form: WWLLL
VS
3-1-3 · Rating 1832
Form: WLWDW
Model Probability
50%
24%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Real Sociedad

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.7%8.6%6.2%
If Win <1%25.0%10.4%3.0%
If Draw <1%17.3%8.2%4.8%
If Lose <1%11.8%6.6%7.2%

Villarreal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%23.7%9.6%4.2%
If Win <1%29.4%10.3%2.2%
If Draw <1%19.5%9.4%4.5%
If Lose <1%14.7%7.9%6.6%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

VillarrealStatReal Sociedad
7Games played7
1.9Avg goals scored1.3
1.7Avg goals conceded1.9
29% / 29% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 14% / 43%
33% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
VillarrealStatReal Sociedad
15All-time wins (30 meetings, 7 draws)8
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.6Average goals1.1
Last meeting (2026-03-20): Villarreal 3–1 Real Sociedad