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Bayer Leverkusen vs Mainz Prediction & Win Probability

Bayer Leverkusen has a 61% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 19, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1-3Rating 1848
Form: LLWWW
vs
Model Probability
61%
Draw 22%
17%
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-4Rating 1733
Form: LLWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.6%3.0%11.9%1.8%
If Win <1%5.0%5.2%6.4%<1%
If Draw <1%2.3%2.9%10.5%1.8%
If Lose <1%1.1%2.3%13.3%2.0%

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%47.5%15.6%<1%<1%
If Win <1%51.7%17.2%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%40.4%16.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%35.1%15.7%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayer LeverkusenStatMainz
8Games played8
2.2Avg goals scored2.1
2.0Avg goals conceded2.1
50% / 12% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 12% / 50%
75% Home win % / Away win % 75%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayer LeverkusenStatMainz
20All-time wins (34 meetings, 5 draws)9
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.8Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-10-10): Mainz 3–4 Bayer Leverkusen