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Freiburg vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 40% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 26, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Freiburg
5-1-2Rating 1819
Form: WLLWD
vs
Model Probability
40%
Draw 28%
32%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1-3Rating 1848
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%46.7%16.3%<1%<1%
If Win 1.3%58.2%14.6%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%46.3%16.6%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%36.5%17.4%<1%<1%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%48.5%14.6%<1%<1%
If Win 1.2%59.1%13.3%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%47.3%15.8%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%37.4%18.1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatBayer Leverkusen
8Games played8
2.2Avg goals scored2.2
1.2Avg goals conceded2.0
62% / 12% / 25%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatBayer Leverkusen
6All-time wins (32 meetings, 10 draws)16
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.1Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-10-18): Bayer Leverkusen 2–1 Freiburg