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Mainz vs Schalke Prediction & Win Probability

Mainz has a 61% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 26, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Mainz
3-1-4Rating 1733
Form: LLWLW
vs
Model Probability
61%
Draw 22%
17%
Bundesliga
Schalke
1-3-4Rating 1612
Form: LDLLD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Schalke

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%34.4%41.6%
If Win <1%<1%<1%35.6%30.2%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%35.7%38.6%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%36.5%44.4%

Mainz

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%2.6%2.3%12.1%1.7%
If Win <1%3.2%3.1%8.1%1.4%
If Draw <1%1.7%2.1%13.9%2.2%
If Lose <1%1.0%1.5%17.8%4.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MainzStatSchalke
8Games played8
2.1Avg goals scored0.5
2.1Avg goals conceded1.1
38% / 12% / 50%Win / Draw / Loss12% / 38% / 50%
0% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MainzStatSchalke
5All-time wins (26 meetings, 7 draws)14
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.9Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Schalke 0–1 Mainz