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RB Leipzig vs Bayer Leverkusen Prediction & Win Probability

RB Leipzig has a 42% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Feb 12, 2027 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
RB Leipzig
5-0-3Rating 1830
Form: WWLWL
vs
Model Probability
42%
Draw 28%
31%
Bundesliga
Bayer Leverkusen
4-1-3Rating 1848
Form: LLWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayer Leverkusen

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%45.4%16.6%<1%<1%
If Win 1.5%58.9%13.7%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%47.9%15.6%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%39.6%16.7%<1%<1%

RB Leipzig

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%49.0%15.0%<1%<1%
If Win 1.1%59.7%12.9%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%47.0%14.4%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%38.1%15.7%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

RB LeipzigStatBayer Leverkusen
8Games played8
2.8Avg goals scored2.2
1.4Avg goals conceded2.0
62% / 0% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 12% / 38%
100% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
RB LeipzigStatBayer Leverkusen
8All-time wins (21 meetings, 5 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.6Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2026-09-20): Bayer Leverkusen 2–0 RB Leipzig