Historical record, recent meetings, scoring profile and performance vs the model's pre-match favorite.
| Date | Match | Result | Winner | Model Projection |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2027-02-13 | Scheduled | |||
| 2026-09-20 | 2–0 | Bayer Leverkusen +2 | Bayer Leverkusen 49% | |
| 2026-05-02 | 4–1 | Bayer Leverkusen +3 | Bayer Leverkusen 46% | |
| 2025-12-20 | 1–3 | Bayer Leverkusen +2 | RB Leipzig 38% | |
| 2025-01-25 | 2–2 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen 46% | |
| 2024-08-31 | 2–3 | RB Leipzig +1 | Bayer Leverkusen 52% | |
| 2024-01-20 | 2–3 | Bayer Leverkusen +1 | RB Leipzig 40% | |
| 2023-08-19 | 3–2 | Bayer Leverkusen +1 | RB Leipzig 40% | |
| 2023-04-23 | 2–0 | Bayer Leverkusen +2 | Bayer Leverkusen 40% | |
| 2022-10-29 | 2–0 | RB Leipzig +2 | RB Leipzig 54% | |
| 2022-04-17 | 0–1 | RB Leipzig +1 | RB Leipzig 38% | |
| 2021-11-28 | 1–3 | Bayer Leverkusen +2 | RB Leipzig 46% | |
| 2021-01-30 | 1–0 | RB Leipzig +1 | RB Leipzig 47% | |
| 2020-09-26 | 1–1 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen 38% | |
| 2020-03-01 | 1–1 | Draw | RB Leipzig 53% | |
| 2019-10-05 | 1–1 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen 39% | |
| 2019-04-06 | 2–4 | RB Leipzig +2 | Bayer Leverkusen 39% | |
| 2018-11-11 | 3–0 | RB Leipzig +3 | RB Leipzig 47% | |
| 2018-04-09 | 1–4 | Bayer Leverkusen +3 | RB Leipzig 45% | |
| 2017-11-18 | 2–2 | Draw | Bayer Leverkusen 46% | |
| 2017-04-08 | 1–0 | RB Leipzig +1 | RB Leipzig 44% | |
| 2016-11-18 | 2–3 | RB Leipzig +1 | Bayer Leverkusen 51% |