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Hoffenheim vs Bayern Munich Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 68% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sun, Dec 13, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
3-0-5Rating 1761
Form: LWWLL
vs
Model Probability
13%
Draw 19%
68%
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
5-3-0Rating 2051
Form: DWWDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 84.3%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 87.9%100.0%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 80.5%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 76.6%99.6%<1%<1%<1%

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.3%5.7%5.7%1.3%
If Win <1%10.2%8.7%2.7%<1%
If Draw <1%6.0%5.6%4.9%<1%
If Lose <1%3.8%5.1%6.4%1.5%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

HoffenheimStatBayern Munich
8Games played8
1.8Avg goals scored3.4
2.0Avg goals conceded1.0
38% / 0% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss62% / 38% / 0%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
HoffenheimStatBayern Munich
5All-time wins (33 meetings, 5 draws)23
1Last 5 meetings (0 draws)4
0.9Average goals2.7
Last meeting (2026-02-08): Bayern Munich 5–1 Hoffenheim