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Union Berlin vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Win Probability

Hoffenheim has a 37% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sun, Dec 20, 2026 · 4:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Union Berlin
1-4-3Rating 1690
Form: DDDWL
vs
Model Probability
35%
Draw 28%
37%
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
3-0-5Rating 1761
Form: LWWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.0%5.6%6.2%1.3%
If Win <1%8.1%6.8%3.6%<1%
If Draw <1%4.9%4.9%7.0%<1%
If Lose <1%2.9%3.5%9.4%1.9%

Union Berlin

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%<1%<1%28.0%12.0%
If Win <1%1.1%1.4%22.1%6.7%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%29.5%11.7%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%32.9%16.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Union BerlinStatHoffenheim
8Games played8
0.9Avg goals scored1.8
2.4Avg goals conceded2.0
12% / 50% / 38%Win / Draw / Loss38% / 0% / 62%
20% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Union BerlinStatHoffenheim
6All-time wins (14 meetings, 2 draws)6
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2026-01-31): Hoffenheim 3–1 Union Berlin