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Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 53% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Freiburg
6-1-2Rating 1824
Form: WWLLW
vs
Model Probability
53%
Draw 25%
22%
Bundesliga
Hoffenheim
4-0-5Rating 1764
Form: WLWWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.4%5.5%3.9%<1%
If Win <1%11.4%8.7%1.5%<1%
If Draw <1%5.5%6.0%3.6%<1%
If Lose <1%3.0%4.1%5.2%<1%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%52.0%15.4%<1%<1%
If Win 1.2%58.9%16.7%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%46.6%16.2%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%38.8%16.4%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatHoffenheim
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored1.8
1.1Avg goals conceded1.9
67% / 11% / 22%Win / Draw / Loss44% / 0% / 56%
80% Home win % / Away win % 25%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatHoffenheim
12All-time wins (31 meetings, 13 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Hoffenheim 3–0 Freiburg