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Bundesliga
Sat, Dec 5, 2026 · 2:30 PM GMT

Freiburg vs Hoffenheim Prediction & Win Probability

Freiburg has a 55% chance to win.

3-1-0 · Rating 1824
Form: DWWWW
VS
1-0-3 · Rating 1751
Form: LWLLL
Model Probability
55%
21%
Draw 25%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Hoffenheim

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%5.5%4.5%10.1%3.1%
If Win <1%8.9%7.0%6.0%1.1%
If Draw <1%5.9%4.7%9.0%2.4%
If Lose <1%3.5%3.6%12.0%3.3%

Freiburg

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.5%48.1%15.1%<1%<1%
If Win 2.2%54.9%14.1%<1%<1%
If Draw 1.4%44.4%13.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%37.0%13.4%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

FreiburgStatHoffenheim
4Games played4
3.0Avg goals scored1.8
0.8Avg goals conceded2.5
75% / 25% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 0% / 75%
100% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
FreiburgStatHoffenheim
12All-time wins (31 meetings, 13 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.7Average goals1.5
Last meeting (2026-02-14): Hoffenheim 3–0 Freiburg