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Bayern Munich vs Paderborn Prediction & Win Probability

Bayern Munich has a 85% chance to win.
Bundesliga
Fri, Dec 4, 2026 · 7:30 PM GMT
Bundesliga
Bayern Munich
5-3-0Rating 2051
Form: DWWDW
vs
Model Probability
85%
Draw 10%
5%
Bundesliga
Paderborn
2-3-3Rating 1716
Form: DWDLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Paderborn

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%1.9%2.1%14.7%3.8%
If Win <1%4.1%4.7%7.2%1.4%
If Draw <1%2.3%2.4%12.3%3.0%
If Lose <1%1.5%1.9%15.8%3.8%

Bayern Munich

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 85.3%99.8%<1%<1%<1%
If Win 86.1%99.9%<1%<1%<1%
If Draw 79.5%99.6%<1%<1%<1%
If Lose 72.1%99.4%<1%<1%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Bayern MunichStatPaderborn
8Games played8
3.4Avg goals scored0.8
1.0Avg goals conceded1.1
62% / 38% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss25% / 38% / 38%
75% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Bayern MunichStatPaderborn
4All-time wins (4 meetings, 0 draws)0
4Last 4 meetings (0 draws)0
4.0Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2020-02-21): Bayern Munich 3–2 Paderborn