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Marseille vs Lille Prediction & Win Probability

Marseille has a 41% chance to win.
Ligue 1
Fri, Jan 15, 2027 · 7:45 PM GMT
Ligue 1
Marseille
5-0-4Rating 1780
Form: WWWWL
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
Ligue 1
Lille
5-3-1Rating 1800
Form: WDDWL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Lille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now 1.1%33.4%12.8%<1%<1%
If Win 1.7%45.0%14.1%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%33.9%13.5%<1%<1%
If Lose <1%26.2%12.4%<1%<1%

Marseille

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegationRelegation playoff
Now <1%14.8%10.1%1.1%<1%
If Win <1%21.6%12.9%<1%<1%
If Draw <1%13.6%9.6%1.5%<1%
If Lose <1%9.6%7.1%2.3%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

MarseilleStatLille
9Games played9
2.2Avg goals scored1.3
1.4Avg goals conceded0.7
56% / 0% / 44%Win / Draw / Loss56% / 33% / 11%
60% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
MarseilleStatLille
12All-time wins (33 meetings, 9 draws)12
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.3Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-03-22): Marseille 1–2 Lille