Premier League
Sun, May 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 61% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 22%
Model Prediction Through Season
Aston Villa
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 25.1% | 7.8% | 4.3% |
| If Win | 1.0% | 31.4% | 9.5% | 2.9% |
| If Draw | <1% | 25.2% | 8.3% | 3.9% |
| If Lose | <1% | 22.0% | 9.0% | 4.2% |
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 47.2% | 96.6% | 1.7% | <1% |
| If Win | 52.1% | 97.8% | <1% | <1% |
| If Draw | 43.3% | 96.6% | 1.7% | <1% |
| If Lose | 41.6% | 95.0% | 1.9% | <1% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | Games played | 5 |
| 2.6 | Avg goals scored | 0.8 |
| 1.0 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 100% / 0% / 0% | Win / Draw / Loss | 20% / 20% / 60% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 33% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | All-time wins (27 meetings, 2 draws) | 6 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 3 |
| 2.3 | Average goals | 0.9 |
Recent Results
Manchester City
vs Sunderland
Sun, Sep 20, 2026 · Margin: +2 · Total: 8
5–3
@ Manchester Utd
Sun, Sep 13, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
vs Coventry
Sat, Sep 5, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 1
1–0
@ Crystal Palace
Fri, Aug 28, 2026 · Margin: +3 · Total: 5
4–1
vs Bournemouth
Sun, Aug 23, 2026 · Margin: +1 · Total: 3
2–1