Manchester City vs Aston Villa Prediction & Win Probability
Manchester City has a 57% chance to win.
Premier League
Sun, May 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
vs
Model Probability
57%
Draw 24%
19%
Model Prediction Through Season
Aston Villa
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 29.0% | 11.6% | 1.1% |
| If Win | <1% | 35.3% | 12.7% | <1% |
| If Draw | <1% | 28.6% | 11.8% | <1% |
| If Lose | <1% | 24.5% | 11.1% | 1.6% |
Manchester City
| Scenario | Win League | Champions League | Europa League | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 13.0% | 90.9% | 3.3% | <1% |
| If Win | 14.3% | 92.9% | 3.0% | <1% |
| If Draw | 9.9% | 89.4% | 4.5% | <1% |
| If Lose | 9.3% | 88.8% | 4.4% | <1% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | Games played | 10 |
| 2.1 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.3 | Avg goals conceded | 1.7 |
| 70% / 0% / 30% | Win / Draw / Loss | 30% / 40% / 30% |
| 80% | Home win % / Away win % | 40% |
| Manchester City | Stat | Aston Villa |
|---|---|---|
| 19 | All-time wins (28 meetings, 2 draws) | 7 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 4 |
| 2.3 | Average goals | 0.9 |