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Sunderland vs Manchester City Prediction & Win Probability

Manchester City has a 56% chance to win.
Premier League
Sun, May 30, 2027 · 4:00 PM BST
Premier League
Sunderland
2-2-6Rating 1828
Form: WLDLL
vs
Model Probability
20%
Draw 24%
56%
Premier League
Manchester City
7-0-3Rating 2031
Form: LLLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Manchester City

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 12.4%91.1%3.8%<1%
If Win 14.6%93.6%3.2%<1%
If Draw 10.8%90.4%4.1%<1%
If Lose 8.6%87.4%5.0%<1%

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%<1%1.0%34.4%
If Win <1%1.5%1.4%27.8%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%34.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%38.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

SunderlandStatManchester City
10Games played10
0.8Avg goals scored2.1
1.7Avg goals conceded1.3
20% / 20% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss70% / 0% / 30%
40% Home win % / Away win % 60%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
SunderlandStatManchester City
4All-time wins (18 meetings, 4 draws)10
0Last 5 meetings (1 draws)4
1.0Average goals2.1
Last meeting (2026-09-20): Manchester City 5–3 Sunderland