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Sun, May 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST

Leeds vs Sunderland Prediction & Win Probability

Leeds has a 49% chance to win.

2-3-0 · Rating 1897
Form: DWDDW
VS
1-1-3 · Rating 1866
Form: LLDWL
Model Probability
49%
25%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Sunderland

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.2%3.4%17.4%
If Win <1%8.6%4.9%13.1%
If Draw <1%6.3%3.1%16.0%
If Lose <1%5.3%2.8%19.9%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%21.6%7.8%4.3%
If Win <1%23.1%8.5%3.0%
If Draw <1%20.0%7.4%4.5%
If Lose <1%16.7%7.1%5.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatSunderland
5Games played5
1.4Avg goals scored1.2
0.6Avg goals conceded2.0
40% / 60% / 0%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 20% / 60%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatSunderland
2All-time wins (8 meetings, 4 draws)2
1Last 5 meetings (3 draws)1
1.0Average goals0.9
Last meeting (2026-03-03): Leeds 0–1 Sunderland