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Aston Villa vs Newcastle Prediction & Win Probability

Aston Villa has a 52% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, May 15, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Premier League
Aston Villa
3-4-3Rating 1943
Form: DDWWD
vs
Model Probability
52%
Draw 25%
23%
Premier League
Newcastle
3-3-4Rating 1890
Form: DLWLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newcastle

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.6%4.2%7.8%
If Win <1%9.4%6.0%4.4%
If Draw <1%6.4%5.4%7.0%
If Lose <1%4.1%4.0%9.7%

Aston Villa

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%28.0%11.6%1.6%
If Win <1%31.1%11.8%<1%
If Draw <1%24.9%11.0%1.6%
If Lose <1%20.5%9.4%1.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Aston VillaStatNewcastle
10Games played10
1.4Avg goals scored1.3
1.7Avg goals conceded1.6
30% / 40% / 30%Win / Draw / Loss30% / 30% / 40%
20% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Aston VillaStatNewcastle
8All-time wins (29 meetings, 9 draws)12
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.0Average goals1.3
Last meeting (2026-10-17): Newcastle 0–1 Aston Villa