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Chelsea vs Arsenal Prediction & Win Probability

Arsenal has a 53% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Mar 13, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW
vs
Model Probability
22%
Draw 25%
53%
Premier League
Arsenal
9-0-1Rating 2091
Form: WWWWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Arsenal

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now 75.6%99.6%<1%<1%
If Win 81.1%99.8%<1%<1%
If Draw 73.8%99.6%<1%<1%
If Lose 69.2%99.5%<1%<1%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.8%10.8%1.4%
If Win <1%34.1%12.8%<1%
If Draw <1%26.7%12.5%1.1%
If Lose <1%21.1%10.9%1.7%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatArsenal
10Games played10
1.9Avg goals scored1.5
1.6Avg goals conceded0.5
50% / 10% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss90% / 0% / 10%
60% Home win % / Away win % 80%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatArsenal
12All-time wins (34 meetings, 9 draws)13
0Last 5 meetings (2 draws)3
1.4Average goals1.4
Last meeting (2026-09-06): Arsenal 2–1 Chelsea