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Premier League
Sat, Jan 30, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT

Chelsea vs Nottingham Prediction & Win Probability

Chelsea has a 48% chance to win.

2-1-2 · Rating 1899
Form: LDLWW
VS
1-2-2 · Rating 1873
Form: LWDDL
Model Probability
48%
26%
Draw 26%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Nottingham

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%6.5%4.5%15.4%
If Win <1%9.9%5.8%10.7%
If Draw <1%6.1%4.2%15.6%
If Lose <1%4.6%3.0%19.0%

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%16.9%7.4%5.2%
If Win <1%21.1%8.0%3.5%
If Draw <1%16.1%6.9%6.1%
If Lose <1%12.8%5.5%8.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

ChelseaStatNottingham
5Games played5
2.0Avg goals scored0.8
2.4Avg goals conceded1.0
40% / 20% / 40%Win / Draw / Loss20% / 40% / 40%
50% Home win % / Away win % 50%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
ChelseaStatNottingham
3All-time wins (8 meetings, 3 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (1 draws)1
1.5Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2026-05-04): Chelsea 1–3 Nottingham