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Leeds vs Chelsea Prediction & Win Probability

Leeds has a 41% chance to win.
Premier League
Sat, Jan 23, 2027 · 3:00 PM GMT
Premier League
Leeds
3-5-2Rating 1891
Form: WLDDL
vs
Model Probability
41%
Draw 28%
31%
Premier League
Chelsea
5-1-4Rating 1913
Form: LWLWW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chelsea

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%25.4%11.8%1.1%
If Win <1%36.6%11.2%<1%
If Draw <1%26.2%11.1%1.2%
If Lose <1%19.1%10.2%1.6%

Leeds

Scenario Win LeagueChampions LeagueEuropa LeagueRelegation
Now <1%12.3%7.9%3.5%
If Win <1%17.3%8.7%1.8%
If Draw <1%11.5%6.9%3.9%
If Lose <1%8.0%5.8%5.0%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

LeedsStatChelsea
10Games played10
1.0Avg goals scored1.9
0.8Avg goals conceded1.6
30% / 50% / 20%Win / Draw / Loss50% / 10% / 40%
40% Home win % / Away win % 40%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
LeedsStatChelsea
2All-time wins (8 meetings, 2 draws)4
2Last 5 meetings (1 draws)2
1.4Average goals1.6
Last meeting (2026-02-10): Chelsea 2–2 Leeds