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Port Vale vs Newport Prediction & Win Probability

Port Vale has a 49% chance to win.
League Two
Sat, Nov 28, 2026 · 3:00 PM GMT
League Two
Port Vale
4-3-5Rating 1236
Form: WLDWW
vs
Model Probability
49%
Draw 26%
25%
League Two
Newport
4-6-4Rating 1203
Form: WLDDW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.1%1.1%13.1%3.7%
If Win 2.0%2.0%21.9%1.5%
If Draw 1.0%1.0%13.4%3.6%
If Lose <1%<1%10.5%4.7%

Port Vale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.1%3.1%25.2%1.9%
If Win 4.8%4.8%29.8%<1%
If Draw 2.9%2.9%22.6%1.7%
If Lose 1.7%1.7%16.3%3.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Port ValeStatNewport
12Games played14
0.8Avg goals scored1.4
1.2Avg goals conceded1.2
33% / 25% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 43% / 29%
67% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Port ValeStatNewport
3All-time wins (11 meetings, 3 draws)5
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.2Average goals1.2
Last meeting (2025-01-18): Port Vale 3–2 Newport