League Two
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST
Port Vale vs Chesterfield Prediction & Win Probability
Port Vale has a 46% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Chesterfield
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 6.8% | 6.8% | 22.4% | 2.8% |
| If Win | 7.6% | 7.6% | 29.4% | 1.4% |
| If Draw | 6.8% | 6.8% | 23.4% | 2.6% |
| If Lose | 3.8% | 3.8% | 19.3% | 3.9% |
Port Vale
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 1.2% | 1.2% | 9.1% | 10.2% |
| If Win | 1.9% | 1.9% | 11.7% | 6.8% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 6.8% | 10.1% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 5.6% | 13.7% |
| Port Vale | Stat | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games played | 7 |
| 0.4 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.3 | Avg goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 14% / 29% / 57% | Win / Draw / Loss | 43% / 29% / 29% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 67% |
| Port Vale | Stat | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| 5 | All-time wins (16 meetings, 3 draws) | 8 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 1.6 |