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League Two
Sat, Sep 26, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Cheltenham vs Chesterfield Prediction & Win Probability

Cheltenham has a 43% chance to win.

3-3-1 · Rating 1203
Form: DWDWD
VS
3-2-2 · Rating 1209
Form: WWDDL
Model Probability
43%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Chesterfield

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 5.5%5.5%22.7%2.3%
If Win 9.4%9.4%29.2%1.4%
If Draw 6.2%6.2%23.1%2.6%
If Lose 4.1%4.1%18.0%3.9%

Cheltenham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 6.8%6.8%23.0%2.6%
If Win 8.9%8.9%29.1%1.5%
If Draw 5.5%5.5%23.0%2.7%
If Lose 3.0%3.0%16.9%3.2%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

CheltenhamStatChesterfield
7Games played7
2.0Avg goals scored1.4
1.6Avg goals conceded1.1
43% / 43% / 14%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 29% / 29%
67% Home win % / Away win % 67%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
CheltenhamStatChesterfield
3All-time wins (13 meetings, 2 draws)8
1Last 5 meetings (2 draws)2
0.6Average goals1.7
Last meeting (2026-04-03): Chesterfield 1–0 Cheltenham