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League Two
Sat, Oct 10, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Port Vale vs Grimsby Prediction & Win Probability

Port Vale has a 43% chance to win.

1-2-4 · Rating 1218
Form: LWLLD
VS
3-4-0 · Rating 1226
Form: WWDDD
Model Probability
43%
29%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Grimsby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 11.6%11.6%33.9%1.0%
If Win 16.7%16.7%39.0%<1%
If Draw 12.5%12.5%34.1%1.0%
If Lose 8.8%8.8%29.7%1.7%

Port Vale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.0%1.0%8.5%10.7%
If Win 1.2%1.2%13.1%6.6%
If Draw 1.0%1.0%7.3%10.8%
If Lose <1%<1%5.5%15.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Port ValeStatGrimsby
7Games played7
0.4Avg goals scored1.6
1.3Avg goals conceded0.9
14% / 29% / 57%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 57% / 0%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Port ValeStatGrimsby
1All-time wins (9 meetings, 2 draws)6
1Last 5 meetings (1 draws)3
1.0Average goals1.9
Last meeting (2025-04-21): Port Vale 2–2 Grimsby