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League Two
Sat, Oct 17, 2026 · 3:00 PM BST

Newport vs York City Prediction & Win Probability

Newport has a 47% chance to win.

1-3-3 · Rating 1188
Form: DDLLD
VS
3-2-2 · Rating 1167
Form: LWDLW
Model Probability
47%
26%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

York City

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.9%1.9%10.4%9.2%
If Win 3.1%3.1%15.6%4.9%
If Draw 1.0%1.0%10.8%8.1%
If Lose <1%<1%8.0%12.6%

Newport

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 1.1%1.1%7.9%12.2%
If Win 2.1%2.1%10.5%7.8%
If Draw 1.0%1.0%7.7%13.1%
If Lose <1%<1%4.4%17.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

NewportStatYork City
7Games played7
1.4Avg goals scored1.9
1.6Avg goals conceded1.4
14% / 43% / 43%Win / Draw / Loss43% / 29% / 29%
33% Home win % / Away win % 0%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
NewportStatYork City
4All-time wins (6 meetings, 0 draws)2
3Last 5 meetings (0 draws)2
1.5Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2016-01-16): York City 0–1 Newport