League Two
Fri, Oct 30, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
Newport vs Chesterfield Prediction & Win Probability
Newport has a 41% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 28%
Model Prediction Through Season
Chesterfield
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 5.4% | 5.4% | 24.7% | 2.4% |
| If Win | 8.7% | 8.7% | 29.5% | 1.2% |
| If Draw | 5.4% | 5.4% | 22.7% | 2.4% |
| If Lose | 3.9% | 3.9% | 18.8% | 4.1% |
Newport
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 8.5% | 11.9% |
| If Win | 1.5% | 1.5% | 10.6% | 8.6% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 6.5% | 13.2% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 4.9% | 14.7% |
| Newport | Stat | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| 7 | Games played | 7 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 1.4 |
| 1.6 | Avg goals conceded | 1.1 |
| 14% / 43% / 43% | Win / Draw / Loss | 43% / 29% / 29% |
| 33% | Home win % / Away win % | 67% |
| Newport | Stat | Chesterfield |
|---|---|---|
| 3 | All-time wins (8 meetings, 1 draws) | 4 |
| 1 | Last 5 meetings (0 draws) | 4 |
| 1.5 | Average goals | 1.9 |