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Port Vale vs Northampton Prediction & Win Probability

Port Vale has a 50% chance to win.
League Two
Tue, Nov 24, 2026 · 7:45 PM GMT
League Two
Port Vale
4-3-5Rating 1234
Form: WLDWW
vs
Model Probability
50%
Draw 26%
24%
League Two
Northampton
3-5-5Rating 1194
Form: LDWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Northampton

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%5.8%11.8%
If Win 1.0%1.0%11.2%5.4%
If Draw <1%<1%6.5%10.3%
If Lose <1%<1%4.2%14.1%

Port Vale

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 3.0%3.0%24.6%2.1%
If Win 4.4%4.4%28.5%1.1%
If Draw 2.4%2.4%20.7%2.4%
If Lose 1.4%1.4%18.0%4.1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

Port ValeStatNorthampton
12Games played13
0.8Avg goals scored0.7
1.2Avg goals conceded0.8
33% / 25% / 42%Win / Draw / Loss23% / 38% / 38%
67% Home win % / Away win % 17%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
Port ValeStatNorthampton
7All-time wins (19 meetings, 6 draws)6
2Last 5 meetings (2 draws)1
1.1Average goals1.0
Last meeting (2026-02-24): Northampton 0–1 Port Vale