Championship
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Bristol City vs Derby Prediction & Win Probability
Bristol City has a 47% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 27%
Model Prediction Through Season
Derby
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | <1% | 6.0% | 32.0% |
| If Win | <1% | <1% | 9.1% | 25.1% |
| If Draw | <1% | <1% | 6.4% | 30.5% |
| If Lose | <1% | <1% | 6.6% | 33.9% |
Bristol City
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.6% | 28.9% | 6.5% |
| If Win | 1.2% | 3.4% | 30.8% | 4.5% |
| If Draw | 1.1% | 2.7% | 25.4% | 6.8% |
| If Lose | <1% | 1.7% | 23.7% | 8.9% |
| Bristol City | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 1.4 | Avg goals scored | 0.9 |
| 1.5 | Avg goals conceded | 1.8 |
| 50% / 12% / 38% | Win / Draw / Loss | 12% / 25% / 62% |
| 50% | Home win % / Away win % | 25% |
| Bristol City | Stat | Derby |
|---|---|---|
| 10 | All-time wins (25 meetings, 6 draws) | 9 |
| 2 | Last 5 meetings (1 draws) | 2 |
| 1.2 | Average goals | 1.5 |