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Championship
Tue, Apr 20, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST

Derby vs Portsmouth Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 43% chance to win.

1-2-5 · Rating 1620
Form: DLLLW
VS
2-2-3 · Rating 1629
Form: DDWLL
Model Probability
43%
30%
Draw 27%

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Portsmouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.0%15.4%17.5%
If Win <1%1.6%17.3%12.1%
If Draw <1%<1%14.1%17.4%
If Lose <1%<1%12.6%18.6%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%7.4%31.4%
If Win <1%<1%9.3%26.3%
If Draw <1%<1%6.3%32.5%
If Lose <1%<1%5.1%35.9%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatPortsmouth
8Games played7
0.9Avg goals scored1.3
1.8Avg goals conceded1.4
12% / 25% / 62%Win / Draw / Loss29% / 29% / 43%
0% Home win % / Away win % 33%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatPortsmouth
6All-time wins (13 meetings, 7 draws)0
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.7Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-09-01): Portsmouth 0–2 Derby