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Derby vs Portsmouth Prediction & Win Probability

Derby has a 36% chance to win.
Championship
Tue, Apr 20, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
Championship
Derby
2-4-9Rating 1591
Form: WLLDL
vs
Model Probability
36%
Draw 28%
36%
Championship
Portsmouth
6-4-5Rating 1651
Form: LWDWD

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Portsmouth

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%1.8%23.0%2.3%
If Win 1.0%2.2%27.3%1.2%
If Draw <1%1.4%22.2%2.4%
If Lose <1%1.1%19.6%3.6%

Derby

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%<1%55.9%
If Win <1%<1%<1%48.0%
If Draw <1%<1%<1%57.4%
If Lose <1%<1%<1%58.4%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

DerbyStatPortsmouth
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored1.3
2.0Avg goals conceded1.2
13% / 27% / 60%Win / Draw / Loss40% / 27% / 33%
12% Home win % / Away win % 29%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
DerbyStatPortsmouth
6All-time wins (13 meetings, 7 draws)0
3Last 5 meetings (2 draws)0
1.7Average goals0.8
Last meeting (2026-09-01): Portsmouth 0–2 Derby