Championship
Tue, Apr 20, 2027 · 7:45 PM BST
Southampton vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability
Southampton has a 57% chance to win.
Model Probability
Draw 24%
Model Prediction Through Season
Birmingham
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | <1% | 2.9% | 28.4% | 6.5% |
| If Win | 1.0% | 3.5% | 38.3% | 3.4% |
| If Draw | <1% | 2.3% | 29.1% | 6.4% |
| If Lose | <1% | 2.0% | 27.3% | 7.4% |
Southampton
| Scenario | Win League | Automatic promotion | Promotion playoff | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Now | 11.0% | 28.9% | 52.8% | <1% |
| If Win | 12.3% | 30.1% | 53.8% | <1% |
| If Draw | 10.2% | 26.0% | 52.3% | <1% |
| If Lose | 8.3% | 22.0% | 55.6% | <1% |
| Southampton | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 8 | Games played | 8 |
| 2.4 | Avg goals scored | 1.5 |
| 1.2 | Avg goals conceded | 1.4 |
| 50% / 25% / 25% | Win / Draw / Loss | 25% / 62% / 12% |
| 100% | Home win % / Away win % | 50% |
| Southampton | Stat | Birmingham |
|---|---|---|
| 4 | All-time wins (7 meetings, 3 draws) | 0 |
| 3 | Last 5 meetings (2 draws) | 0 |
| 2.3 | Average goals | 1.1 |