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Watford vs Birmingham Prediction & Win Probability

Birmingham has a 42% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, Apr 24, 2027 · 3:00 PM BST
Championship
Watford
4-3-8Rating 1589
Form: DWLLW
vs
Model Probability
30%
Draw 28%
42%
Championship
Birmingham
8-5-2Rating 1696
Form: WWWLW

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 8.6%19.6%57.8%<1%
If Win 11.7%24.9%56.5%<1%
If Draw 7.2%18.5%56.7%<1%
If Lose 7.0%15.7%56.7%<1%

Watford

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%2.0%31.5%
If Win <1%<1%3.1%23.2%
If Draw <1%<1%2.1%31.3%
If Lose <1%<1%1.2%37.3%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

WatfordStatBirmingham
15Games played15
0.9Avg goals scored1.9
1.5Avg goals conceded0.9
27% / 20% / 53%Win / Draw / Loss53% / 33% / 13%
50% Home win % / Away win % 57%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
WatfordStatBirmingham
11All-time wins (16 meetings, 2 draws)3
4Last 5 meetings (0 draws)1
1.7Average goals0.6
Last meeting (2026-01-01): Watford 3–0 Birmingham