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Birmingham vs Burnley Prediction & Win Probability

Birmingham has a 50% chance to win.
Championship
Sat, May 1, 2027 · 12:30 PM BST
Championship
Birmingham
8-5-2Rating 1696
Form: WWWLW
vs
Model Probability
50%
Draw 26%
24%
Championship
Burnley
1-7-7Rating 1656
Form: LDDLL

Model Prediction Through Season

Season Impact

Burnley

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now <1%<1%3.7%20.2%
If Win <1%<1%5.7%14.7%
If Draw <1%<1%3.6%19.1%
If Lose <1%<1%3.0%22.8%

Birmingham

Scenario Win LeagueAutomatic promotionPromotion playoffRelegation
Now 9.0%20.3%56.8%<1%
If Win 10.0%22.3%59.3%<1%
If Draw 8.5%18.5%56.5%<1%
If Lose 7.1%16.0%56.0%<1%

Season Form Coming Into This Game

BirminghamStatBurnley
15Games played15
1.9Avg goals scored1.5
0.9Avg goals conceded2.1
53% / 33% / 13%Win / Draw / Loss7% / 47% / 47%
50% Home win % / Away win % 12%

Head-to-Head

Historical record and recent meetings
BirminghamStatBurnley
4All-time wins (11 meetings, 4 draws)3
0Last 5 meetings (3 draws)2
1.6Average goals1.8
Last meeting (2022-12-27): Burnley 3–0 Birmingham